Example: Binomial Data Revisited

• Suppose that we choose a uniform prior P(? ) = 1 for ? in [0,1]

• Then P(? |D) is proportional to the likelihood L(? :D)

• (NH,NT ) = (4,1)

• • MLE for P(X = H ) is 4/5 = 0.8
  • Bayesian prediction is

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