Marginal Likelihood: Example (cont.)

• Actual experiment with P(H) = 0.25

-1.3

-1.2

-1.1

-1

-0.9

-0.8

-0.7

-0.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

(Log P(D))/M

M

MDL

Dirichlet(.5,.5)

Dirichlet(1,1)

Dirichlet(5,5)

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